Today, Professor Narbone returned to TG1 Mattina to discuss the death of Iranian President Raisi and its implications for Iran and the wider region. 

Prof. Narbone commented on the announcement of the upcoming elections, stating that change is  unlikely: “The regime has sent a clear message of continuity”, leaving no room for uncertainty. Moreover, it will become clear in the coming days who will be the leading candidate. According to Professor Narbone is likely be a hardliner of the regime. 

Nevertheless, the election will be a key moment in the history of the Islamic Republic, as it will reveal the reaction and attitude of the people. The regime is, indeed, in danger of losing its legitimacy, not only among the youth and women, who in 2022 where leading the protests against the regime and are demanding more civil rights, but also among the middle class worried about the country’s economic problems.

Commenting on the impact of Raisi’s death on the Gaza War and on the regional tensions. Prof. Narbone said it is unlikely to affect the conflict as foreign policy remains firmly in the hands of the Pasdaran and the Supreme Leader. Moreover, Iran’s links with the Axis of Resistance militias remain well established and active.